Trump is leading Biden by 3 points, with 48 percent to 45 percent, in a potential 2024 general election among registered voters in Michigan, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released Thursday. Quinnipiac University conducted the poll. The poll was done right after Biden’s State of the Union address.
The poll shows that Trump’s lead grows to 5 points when Michigan respondents were asked about a hypothetical five-candidate race, including Independent candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein.
In the five-person match-up, Trump got 41 percent of voter support, Biden got 36 percent, Kennedy got 10 percent, Stein got 4 percent, and West got 3 percent.
Trump and Biden both have strong support from their respective parties, with 94 percent of Republicans backing Trump and 93 percent of Democrats backing Biden. Independents are evenly split, but lean toward Trump, with 46 percent for Trump and 42 percent for Biden.
Quinnipiac University polling analyst Tim Malloy said in a statement that both Biden and Trump are preparing for a rematch as the presidential election approaches.
Michigan is expected to be a crucial battleground state in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump currently leading by 3.3 points in head-to-head polls against Biden, according to The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s polling average in the state.
The survey also asked respondents about their top concerns going into the election. Twenty-two percent mentioned preserving democracy, 21 percent said the economy, and 21 percent said immigration.
There's a notable divide among registered voters in Michigan based on their political affiliations when it comes to the issues they care about.
A considerable 42 percent of Democrats said preserving democracy in the United States was their top concern. The only other issues to reach double digits among them were gun violence and the economy, with 12 and 10 percent, respectively.
Among Republicans, 42 percent said immigration was their top concern, and 24 percent said the economy was their top concern.
Independents ranked the economy first, at 26 percent, followed by U.S. democracy, at 21 percent, and then immigration, at 18 percent.
The survey discovered that 65 percent of registered voters in Michigan described the economy as either “not so good” or “poor.
“A head scratcher, but a fact: 65 percent of Michigan voters seem to think the economy is shaky at best, but nearly the same number say their finances are doing just fine,” Malloy said in the statement.
The research, done from March 8 to 12, involved 1,487 people who said they were registered to vote in Michigan, and had a margin of error of 2.5 percent.