Vernor Vinge, prolific science-fiction writer, professor, and one of the first prominent thinkers to come up with the ideas of a “Technological SingularityTechnological Singularity” and cyberspace, has died at the age of 79. News of his passing on March 20 was confirmed through a Facebook post from author and friend David Brin, citing complications from Parkinson’s Disease.
“Vernor fascinated millions with stories of believable futures, made more vivid by his mastery of language, drama, characters, and the implications of science,” Brin writes.
The Hugo Award-winning author of sci-classics like A Fire Upon the Deep and Rainbow’s End, Vinge also taught mathematics and computer science at San Diego State University before retiring in 2000 to concentrate on his writing. In his famous 1983 op-ed, Vinge used the idea of a “singularity” to describe the moment in humanity’s technological progress marking “an intellectual transition as impenetrable as the knotted space-time at the center of a black hole” when “the world will pass far beyond our understanding.” The Singularity, Vinge thought, would likely come from the creation of artificial intelligence systems that surpassed humanity’s evolutionary capabilities. How life on Earth progressed from there was anyone’s guess—something plenty of Vinge-inspired writers have since attempted.
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John Scalzi, bestselling sci-fi writer of the Old Man’s War series, wrote in a blog post on Thursday that Vinge’s singularity theory is now so widespread within science fiction and the tech industry that “it doesn’t feel like it has a creator, and that it just existed ambiently.”
“That’s a hell of a thing to have contributed to the world,” he continued.
In many ways, Vinge’s visions have arguably come true almost exactly, as shown by the recent, rapid advances within an AI industry whose leaders are openly indebted to his work. In a 1993 essay further expounding on the Singularity concept, Vinge predicted that, “Within thirty years, we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence,” likening the moment to the “rise of human life on Earth.”
“Shortly after, the human era will be ended,” Vinge dramatically hypothesized at the time.
Many critics have since (often convincingly) argued that creating a true artificial general intelligence still remains out-of-reach, if not completely impossible. Even then, however, Vinge appeared perfectly capable of envisioning a dizzying, non-Singularity future—humanity may never square off against sentient AI, but it’s certainly already contending with “a glut of technical riches never properly absorbed.”